CBRT Initiative Survey Series 2012

September 12th, 2012

Top Line and Party BreakoutsCBRT Crosstabs
priority form

Initiatives

Proposition 30 (Temporary Taxes to Fund Education. Guaranteed Local Public Safety Funding. Initiative Constitutional Amendment)

Strongly Yes 20.9%
Somewhat Yes 15.4%
Leaning Yes 18.2%
Yes 54.4%
No 39.9%
Leaning No 10.6%
Somewhat No 5.6%
Strongly No 23.7%
Unsure 5.7%

Proposition 32 (Prohibits Political Contributions by Payroll Deduction. Prohibitions on Contributions to Candidates. Initiative Statute.)

Strongly Yes 24.6%
Somewhat Yes 14.0%
Leaning Yes 14.4%
Yes 53.0%
No 37.1%
Leaning No 10.9%
Somewhat No 6.5%
Strongly No 19.7%
Unsure 9.9%

Proposition 34 (Death Penalty Repeal. Initiative Statute.)

Strongly Yes 21.8%
Somewhat Yes 10.4%
Leaning Yes 10.4%
Yes 42.5%
No 50.5%
Leaning No 11.3%
Somewhat No 9.2%
Strongly No 29.9%
Unsure 7.0%

Proposition 36 (Three Strikes Law. Sentencing for Repeat Felony Offenders. Initiative Statute.)

Strongly Yes 31.1%
Somewhat Yes 23.3%
Leaning Yes 26.6%
Yes 81.1%
No 13.1%
Leaning No 3.7%
Somewhat No 2.6%
Strongly No 6.8%
Unsure 5.9%

Proposition 38 (Tax for Education and Early Childhood Programs. Initiative Statute.)

Strongly Yes 12.7%
Somewhat Yes 11.7%
Leaning Yes 19.1%
Yes 43.4%
No 46.9%
Leaning No 14.1%
Somewhat No 8.8%
Strongly No 24.0%
Unsure 9.7%

Proposition 40 (Redistricting. State Senate Districts. Referendum.)

Strongly Yes 13.5%
Somewhat Yes 13.1%
Leaning Yes 17.2%
Yes 43.9%
No 26.3%
Leaning No 13.9%
Somewhat No 4.5%
Strongly No 7.9%
Unsure 29.8%

Proposition 31 (State Budget. State and Local Government. Initiative Constitutional Amendment and Statute.)

Strongly Yes 7.0%
Somewhat Yes 11.0%
Leaning Yes 23.2%
Yes 41.2%
No 36.7%
Leaning No 18.3%
Somewhat No 8.8%
Strongly No 9.6%
Unsure 22.0%

Proposition 33 (Changes Law to Allow Auto Insurance Companies to Set Prices Based on a Driver's History of Insurance Coverage. Initiative Statute.)

Strongly Yes 13.8%
Somewhat Yes 17.0%
Leaning Yes 24.6%
Yes 55.4%
No 33.7%
Leaning No 14.3%
Somewhat No 6.9%
Strongly No 12.5%
Unsure 10.9%

Proposition 35 (Human Trafficking. Penalties. Sex Offender Registration. Initiative Statute.)

Strongly Yes 47.3%
Somewhat Yes 18.0%
Leaning Yes 18.9%
Yes 84.2%
No 9.6%
Leaning No 3.7%
Somewhat No 2.4%
Strongly No 3.6%
Unsure 6.2%

Proposition 37 (Genetically Engineered Foods. Mandatory Labeling. Initiative Statute.)

Strongly Yes 32.4%
Somewhat Yes 14.6%
Leaning Yes 19.8%
Yes 66.8%
No 26.3%
Leaning No 10.8%
Somewhat No 6.6%
Strongly No 8.8%
Unsure 6.9%

Proposition 39 (Tax Treatment for Multistate Businesses. Clean Energy and Energy Efficiency Funding. Initiative Statute.)

Strongly Yes 18.9%
Somewhat Yes 14.8%
Leaning Yes 23.5%
Yes 57.2%
No 29.2%
Leaning No 11.0%
Somewhat No 4.0%
Strongly No 14.2%
Unsure 13.6%

Politicians

How likely are you to vote in the coming general election?

Definitely vote 90.1%
Probably vote 6.2%
50-50 3.7%

Right now, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of President Barack Obama?

Very favorable 27.5%
Somewhat favorable 30.3%
Favorable 57.8%
Unfavorable 40.8%
Somewhat unfavorable 12.4%
Very unfavorable 28.4%
Don’t have an opinion 1.4%

Right now, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the California State Legislature?

Very favorable 1.6%
Somewhat favorable 16.1%
Favorable 17.7%
Unfavorable 74.2%
Somewhat unfavorable 35.8%
Very unfavorable 38.5%
Don’t have an opinion 8.1%

If the election were tomorrow, for whom would you vote for U.S. Senate?

Dianne Feinstein (D) 52.4%
Elizabeth Emken (R) 30.4%
Unsure 17.3%

Upon which resources did you rely on to decide or inform the choices you entered on the survey?

Friends – word of mouth 29.3%
Official voter information guide 43.1%
Mailers 9.9%
TV advertisements 14.7%
Radio advertisements 9.3%
Print advertisements 7.7%
Professional association 7.5%
Newspapers 39.4%
Internet 44.5%
Other news sources 28.1%
Canvassers/people at door .8%
Other 17.7%

Generally speaking, would you say California is on the right track, or is it off on the wrong track?

Right track 33.2%
Wrong track 66.8%

Right now, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Governor Jerry Brown?

Very favorable 9.5%
Somewhat favorable 38.0%
Favorable 47.4%
Unfavorable 46.8%strong>
Somewhat unfavorable 21.9%
Very unfavorable 24.9%
Don’t have an opinion 5.8%

If the election were tomorrow, for whom would you vote for U.S. President?

Barack Obama (D) 55.4%
Mitt Romney (R) 33.4%
Someone else 4.2%
Unsure 6.9%

For which propositions do you recall seeing an advertisement in the past two weeks?

Prop 30 21.1%
Prop 31 6.8%
Prop 32 14.4%
Prop 33 4.1%
Prop 34 6.3%
Prop 35 4.2%
Prop 36 4.8%
Prop 37 8.8%
Prop 38 6.0%
Prop 39 3.8%
Prop 40 3.5%
None of the above 64.7%

Which resource was your PRIMARY source to decide or inform the choices you entered on the survey?

Friends – word of mouth 6.3%
Official voter information guide 24.6%
Mailers .7%
TV advertisements 3.3%
Radio advertisements 1.6%
Print advertisements .4%
Professional association 2.0%
Newspapers 14.3%
Internet 18.9%td>
Other news sources 9.8%
Canvassers .2%
Other 17.9%
Our Current Members
AnthemBlueCross
AutomobileClubSoCal
Bain&Company
BlueShield
Chevron
C.J Segerstrom
DLA Piper
EdisonInternational
Eli Lilly
Farmers Insurance
Granite
HealthNet
Enterprise
McKinsey
KBHome
Kaiser
StateFarm
Sidley
Safeway
PG&E
Sempra Energy
SutterHealth
UnifiedGrocers
Union Bank
Vanir
WellsFargo