CBRT Initiative Survey Series 2012

October 11th, 2012

Top Line and Party BreakoutsCBRT Crosstabs
priority form

Initiatives

Proposition 30 (Temporary Taxes to Fund Education. Guaranteed Local Public Safety Funding. Initiative Constitutional Amendment)

Strongly Yes 18.7%
Somewhat Yes 14.8%
Leaning Yes 16.0%
Yes 49.5%
No 41.7%
Leaning No 11.6%
Somewhat No 6.7%
Strongly No 23.4%
Unsure 8.8%

Proposition 32 (Prohibits Political Contributions by Payroll Deduction. Prohibitions on Contributions to Candidates. Initiative Statute.)

Strongly Yes 22.5%
Somewhat Yes 13.7%
Leaning Yes 15.1%
Yes 51.4%
No 38.3%
Leaning No 10.0%
Somewhat No 7.8%
Strongly No 20.5%
Unsure 10.3%

Proposition 34 (Death Penalty Repeal. Initiative Statute.)

Strongly Yes 19.9%
Somewhat Yes 11.1%
Leaning Yes 11.9%
Yes 42.9%
No 48.1%
Leaning No 7.6%
Somewhat No 8.3%
Strongly No 32.2%
Unsure 9.0%

Proposition 36 (Three Strikes Law. Sentencing for Repeat Felony Offenders. Initiative Statute.)

Strongly Yes 28.6%
Somewhat Yes 22.4%
Leaning Yes 21.0%
Yes 72.0%
No 17.1%
Leaning No 5.8%
Somewhat No 4.5%
Strongly No 6.8%
Unsure 10.9%

Proposition 38 (Tax for Education and Early Childhood Programs. Initiative Statute.)

Strongly Yes 14.4%
Somewhat Yes 12.1%
Leaning Yes 15.4%
Yes 41.9%
No 45.9%
Leaning No 9.2%
Somewhat No 11.0%
Strongly No 25.7%
Unsure 12.2%

Proposition 40 (Redistricting. State Senate Districts. Referendum.)

Strongly Yes 13.9%
Somewhat Yes 13.2%
Leaning Yes 17.1%
Yes 44.2%
No 26.1%
Leaning No 11.0%
Somewhat No 6.5%
Strongly No 8.7%
Unsure 29.6%

Proposition 31 (State Budget. State and Local Government. Initiative Constitutional Amendment and Statute.)

Strongly Yes 7.1%
Somewhat Yes 11.5%
Leaning Yes 19.0%
Yes 37.6%
No 35.5%
Leaning No 14.7%
Somewhat No 10.4%
Strongly No 10.4%
Unsure 26.9%

Proposition 33 (Changes Law to Allow Auto Insurance Companies to Set Prices Based on a Driver's History of Insurance Coverage. Initiative Statute.)

Strongly Yes 15.2%
Somewhat Yes 13.9%
Leaning Yes 25.0%
Yes 54.0%
No 34.3%
Leaning No 9.3%
Somewhat No 8.2%
Strongly No 16.7%
Unsure 11.7%

Proposition 35 (Human Trafficking. Penalties. Sex Offender Registration. Initiative Statute.)

Strongly Yes 46.0%
Somewhat Yes 17.2%
Leaning Yes 14.6%
Yes 77.8%
No 13.6%
Leaning No 4.1%
Somewhat No 3.0%
Strongly No 6.5%
Unsure 8.6%

Proposition 37 (Genetically Engineered Foods. Mandatory Labeling. Initiative Statute.)

Strongly Yes 23.1%
Somewhat Yes 11.7%
Leaning Yes 13.4%
Yes 48.3%
No 40.2%
Leaning No 11.5%
Somewhat No 7.7%
Strongly No 21.0%
Unsure 11.5%

Proposition 39 (Tax Treatment for Multistate Businesses. Clean Energy and Energy Efficiency Funding. Initiative Statute.)

Strongly Yes 20.4%
Somewhat Yes 17.2%
Leaning Yes 23.0%
Yes 60.6%
No 25.1%
Leaning No 8.1%
Somewhat No 5.8%
Strongly No 11.2%
Unsure 14.4%

Politicians

How likely are you to vote in the coming general election?

Definitely vote 85.7%
Probably vote 11.5%
50-50 2.8%

Right now, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of President Barack Obama?

Very favorable 23.7%
Somewhat favorable 31.5%
Favorable 55.2%
Unfavorable 42.2%
Somewhat unfavorable 16.8%
Very unfavorable 25.4%
Don’t have an opinion 2.6%

Right now, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the California State Legislature?

Very favorable 3.8%
Somewhat favorable 19.4%
Favorable 23.2%
Unfavorable 67.7%
Somewhat unfavorable 33.2%
Very unfavorable 34.5%
Don’t have an opinion 9.1%

If the election were tomorrow, for whom would you vote for U.S. Senate?

Dianne Feinstein (D) 48.2%
Elizabeth Emken (R) 31.1%
Unsure 20.7%

Upon which resources did you rely on to decide or inform the choices you entered on the survey?

Friends – word of mouth 29.1%
Official voter information guide 56.8%
Mailers 14.1%
TV advertisements 39.0%
Radio advertisements 9.6%
Print advertisements 10.8%
Professional association 10.7%
Newspapers 29.0%
Internet 38.7%
Other news sources 17.2%
Canvassers/people at door 1.5%
Other 11.2%

Generally speaking, would you say California is on the right track, or is it off on the wrong track?

Right track 33%
Wrong track 67%

Right now, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Governor Jerry Brown?

Very favorable 8.4%
Somewhat favorable 33.5%
Favorable 42.0%
Unfavorable 47..6%
Somewhat unfavorable 23.9%
Very unfavorable 23.7%
Don’t have an opinion 10.4%

If the election were tomorrow, for whom would you vote for U.S. President?

Barack Obama (D) 54.0%
Mitt Romney (R) 32.9%
Someone else 4.2%
Unsure 9.0%

Which resource was your PRIMARY source to decide or inform the choices you entered on the survey?

Friends – word of mouth 8.5%
Official voter information guide 35.3%
Mailers 2.4%
TV advertisements 12.8%
Radio advertisements 1.5%
Print advertisements 0.2%
Professional association 1.9%
Newspapers 8.1%
Internet 16.3%
Other news sources 3.6%
Canvassers 0.1%
Other 9.3%
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