CBRT Initiative Survey Series 2012

August 29th, 2012

Top Line and Party BreakoutsCBRT Crosstabs
priority form

Initiatives

Proposition 30 (Temporary Taxes to Fund Education. Guaranteed Local Public Safety Funding. Initiative Constitutional Amendment)

Strongly Yes 24.7%
Somewhat Yes 12.1%
Leaning Yes 17.6%
Yes 54.4%
No 40.5%
Leaning No 10.8%
Somewhat No 4.6%
Strongly No 25.0%
Unsure 5.1%

Proposition 32 (Prohibits Political Contributions by Payroll Deduction. Prohibitions on Contributions to Candidates. Initiative Statute.)

Strongly Yes 24.7%
Somewhat Yes 14.6%
Leaning Yes 18.0%
Yes 57.3%
No 33.0%
Leaning No 11.1%
Somewhat No 7.6%
Strongly No 14.3%
Unsure 9.7%

Proposition 34 (Death Penalty Repeal. Initiative Statute.)

Strongly Yes 18.7%
Somewhat Yes 8.4%
Leaning Yes 13.0%
Yes 40.1%
No 49.5%
Leaning No 9.2%
Somewhat No 7.9%
Strongly No 32.4%
Unsure 10.4%

Proposition 36 (Three Strikes Law. Sentencing for Repeat Felony Offenders. Initiative Statute.)

Strongly Yes 25.2%
Somewhat Yes 21.6%
Leaning Yes 27.3%
Yes 74.1%
No 17.8%
Leaning No 4.9%
Somewhat No 3.8%
Strongly No 9.1%
Unsure 8.1%

Proposition 38 (Tax for Education and Early Childhood Programs. Initiative Statute.)

Strongly Yes 12.5%
Somewhat Yes 8.7%
Leaning Yes 18.5%
Yes 39.6%
No 49.4%
Leaning No 12.7%
Somewhat No 9.8%
Strongly No 23.0%
Unsure 26.8%

Proposition 40 (Redistricting. State Senate Districts. Referendum.)

Strongly Yes 15.5%
Somewhat Yes 13.5%
Leaning Yes 18.7%
Yes 47.8%
No 25.0%
Leaning No 11.3%
Somewhat No 5.3%
Strongly No 8.3%
Unsure 27.3%

Proposition 31 (State Budget. State and Local Government. Initiative Constitutional Amendment and Statute.)

Strongly Yes 6.8%
Somewhat Yes 11.2%
Leaning Yes 22.9%
Yes 40.9%
No 36.2%
Leaning No 18.8%
Somewhat No 8.6%
Strongly No 8.8%
Unsure 22.9%

Proposition 33 (Changes Law to Allow Auto Insurance Companies to Set Prices Based on a Driver's History of Insurance Coverage. Initiative Statute.)

Strongly Yes 15.5%
Somewhat Yes 16.8%
Leaning Yes 24.2%
Yes 56.5%
No 31.8%
Leaning No 12.7%
Somewhat No 7.1%
Strongly No 12.0%
Unsure 11.7%

Proposition 35 (Human Trafficking. Penalties. Sex Offender Registration. Initiative Statute.)

Strongly Yes 47.7%
Somewhat Yes 20.1%
Leaning Yes 14.4%
Yes 82.2%
No 10.8%
Leaning No 5.0%
Somewhat No 2.9%
Strongly No 3.0%
Unsure 7.0%

Proposition 37 (Genetically Engineered Foods. Mandatory Labeling. Initiative Statute.)

Strongly Yes 31.8%
Somewhat Yes 14.1%
Leaning Yes 19.5%
Yes 65.4%
No 23.4%
Leaning No 9.5%
Somewhat No 7.2%
Strongly No 6.7%
Unsure 11.1%

Proposition 39 (Tax Treatment for Multistate Businesses. Clean Energy and Energy Efficiency Funding. Initiative Statute.)

Strongly Yes 18.4%
Somewhat Yes 15.9%
Leaning Yes 24.8%
Yes 59.2%
No 28.9%
Leaning No 9.7%
Somewhat No 6.3%
Strongly No 12.8%
Unsure 12.0%

Politicians

How likely are you to vote in the coming general election?

Definitely vote 91.3%
Probably vote 6.3%
50-50 2.4%

Right now, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of President Barack Obama?

Very favorable 22.5%
Somewhat favorable 35.4%
Favorable 58.0%
Unfavorable 41.3%
Somewhat unfavorable 14.6%
Very unfavorable 26.7%
Don’t have an opinion 0.7%

Right now, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the California State Legislature?

Very favorable 1.8%
Somewhat favorable 14.7%
Favorable 16.5%
Unfavorable 75.3%
Somewhat unfavorable 36.1%
Very unfavorable 39.5%
Don’t have an opinion 7.9%

If the election were tomorrow, for whom would you vote for U.S. Senate?

Dianne Feinstein (D) 51.3%
Elizabeth Emken (R) 29.3%
Unsure 19.6%

Upon which resources did you rely on to decide or inform the choices you entered on the survey?

Friends – word of mouth 23.8%
Official voter information guide 48.8%
Mailers 11.1%
TV advertisements 11.9%
Radio advertisements 7.7%
Print advertisements 6.7%
Professional association 6.7%
Newspapers 32.6%
Internet 45.1%
Other news sources 20.6%
Canvassers/people at door 0.2%
Other 20.2%

How important do you believe reforming government employee pensions is in order to help solve California's budget deficit?

Very important 43.3%
Somewhat important 27.7%
Important 71.0%
Unimportant 10.6%
Somewhat unimportant 5.9%
Very unimportant 4.8%
Unsure 18.3%

Generally speaking, would you say California is on the right track, or is it off on the wrong track?

Right track 30.1%
Wrong track 69.9%

Right now, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Governor Jerry Brown?

Very favorable 8.5%
Somewhat favorable 35.7%
Favorable 44.2%
Unfavorable 47.3%
Somewhat unfavorable 22.8%
Very unfavorable 24.6%
Don’t have an opinion 8.5%

If the election were tomorrow, for whom would you vote for U.S. President?

Barack Obama (D) 55.6%
Mitt Romney (R) 31.5%
Someone else 5.5%
Unsure 7.4%

For which propositions do you recall seeing an advertisement in the past two weeks?

Prop 30 15.3%
Prop 31 4.4%
Prop 32 11.4%
Prop 33 5.3%
Prop 34 4.5%
Prop 35 3.0%
Prop 36 4.5%
Prop 37 6.1%
Prop 38 3.9%
Prop 39 2.0%
Prop 40 2.1%
None of the above 71.7%

Which resource was your PRIMARY source to decide or inform the choices you entered on the survey?

Friends – word of mouth 6.2%
Official voter information guide 29.6%
Mailers 0.5%
TV advertisements 2.6%
Radio advertisements 2.5%
Print advertisements 2.5%
Professional association 1.8%
Newspapers 11.1%
Internet 19.7%
Other news sources 6.7%
Other 16.7%
Our Current Members
AnthemBlueCross
AutomobileClubSoCal
Bain&Company
BlueShield
Chevron
C.J Segerstrom
DLA Piper
EdisonInternational
Eli Lilly
Farmers Insurance
Granite
HealthNet
Enterprise
McKinsey
KBHome
Kaiser
StateFarm
Sidley
Safeway
PG&E
Sempra Energy
SutterHealth
UnifiedGrocers
Union Bank
Vanir
WellsFargo